Calgary: Alberta’s election of conservative leader Danielle Smith puts her on a collision course with Canada’s Liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau over climate policies that she claims will undermine the province’s massive fossil fuel industry.
Smith, leader of the United Conservative Party (UCP), defeated left-leaning New Democratic Party leader Rachel Notley on Monday, and immediately targeted Trudeau, threatening the country’s ambitious climate goals
Smith said Trudeau’s Liberal climate policies will destroy tens of thousands of jobs in the oil and gas sector, which contributes more than 20% to Alberta’s gross domestic product. Trudeau’s government is aiming to cut climate-warming carbon emissions 40-45% by 2030, but will struggle to meet that target without significant reductions from Alberta, Canada’s highest-polluting province.
Some analysts have said deep emissions cuts are not possible without cutting oil production, which Smith fiercely opposes.
In her victory speech in front of cheering supporters in Canada’s oil capital Calgary, Smith called on Albertans to stand up against policies including the federal government’s proposed oil and gas emissions cap and clean electricity regulations, expected to be unveiled within weeks. “Hopefully the prime minister and his caucus are watching tonight,” Smith said. “As premier I cannot under any circumstances allow these contemplated federal policies to be inflicted upon Albertans.” Canada has the world’s third-largest oil reserves, most of which are held in northern Alberta’s vast oil sands. The province produces around 80% of Canada’s 4.9 million barrels per day of crude oil.
“Let’s create more good jobs, grow our economy, and continue to position Alberta as a leader in clean energy,” Trudeau said in a tweet on Tuesday congratulating Smith on her victory. The federal government says Canada needs to cut emissions from oil and gas production to stay competitive as the world transitions to net-zero by 2050.
Since winning party leadership and becoming premier in October, Smith passed legislation allowing the province to refuse to enforce federal laws it deems unconstitutional, and she has threatened to use it on legislation seen as a potential threat to the province’s energy industry.
Smith and Trudeau have also sparred over who should pay for potential increases to tax credits for carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects that the oil and gas wants to use to decarbonize its production process.
“One of the challenges is there is a political class in Alberta that has decided that anything to do with climate change is going to be bad for them or for Alberta,” Trudeau told Reuters in a January interview.
However, some industry leaders seeking public sector funding for CCS are tiring of the combative relationship between the two levels of government and have called for better collaboration.
Earlier this year, Alex Pourbaix, the then-CEO of oil producer Cenovus Energy (CVE.TO), said he would “like to see the temperature turned down a little bit”.
For Trudeau, Smith may be a better political counterpoint than her less controversial rival Notley would have been, as the Liberals can cast her as a western version of federal Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre.
On Tuesday, Poilievre welcomed Smith’s “resounding victory” and said Albertans had voted to “stand up for our energy sector and unleash the full potential of Alberta’s economy”.
That said, provincial leaders of all political stripes tend to work with the federal government when it is beneficial to their electorate, as has been the case recently with federal funding for healthcare and childcare.